Fantasy Sports O.G. Predicts 2025-26 NBA Champion

Will we see an NBA Finals rematch in 2026? Some fantasy basketball algorithms say maybe.
Will we see an NBA Finals rematch in 2026? Some fantasy basketball algorithms say maybe. / Kyle Terada-Imagn Images

The Oklahoma City Thunder are designing their 2024-25 championship rings.

The Dallas Mavericks are hosting a dozen Cooper Flagg parties.

The Chicago Bulls are making mistakes left and right.

And Chicago Sports Stuff and Strat-O-Matic have already gamed out the 2025-26 regular season and playoffs…and crowned a champion.

Incorporating this week’s flurry of trades and draft picks, the O.G. of fantasy sports dumped a bunch of names, facts, and figures into a trusty iMac G4, and boom, we've now learned how next season will look.

Spoiler alert: The Chicago Bulls are way worse than you’d expect.


Regular Season: Eastern Conference

The East, according to SOM's sim, is about what you’d expect: Top heavy af.

  • Two of the four division winners—the Cavs and the Pacers tied for the Central crown, thus the four teams rather than three—took their respective divisions by a double-digits-in-wins margin, with the 61-win Knicks pulling out the East championship.
  • With newly-acquired sharpshooter Desmond Bane in the house, Orlando made a huge 12-win leap, locking down the Southeast by a whopping 11 games.
  • The Central was a mess, with Detroit finishing just two games above .500, and the Bucks and the Bulls pooping the bed a whole bunch, combining for 62 wins, one less than the Knicks.
  • The good news for Chicago fans is that thanks to their miserable 24-win campaign, they won’t have to again watch the franchise stank up the Play-In Tournament.

2025-26 NBA Eastern Conference, predicted
Alan Goldsher/Strat-O-Matic

Regular Season: Western Conference

Here's a shocker for those of you on the West-Is-Way-Better-Than-the-East train: SOM’s algos prognosticate that both conferences will produce eight plus-.500 teams. We’re also told that each of the two Conference’s top franchises will finish the year with 61 wins.

  • That said, the West has fewer have-nots than the East, as OKC won the Northwest by four games, while the Lakers took the Pacific by a mere three, topping, of all teams, Sacramento.
  • To nobody’s surprise, Utah, Portland, New Orleans, and Phoenix were all really, really bad at basketball, each managing fewer than 23 wins. And the Nuggets and the Mavs disappointed, with both concluding the campaign barely above .500.

2025-26 NBA Western Conference, predicted
Alan Goldsher/Strat-O-Matic

Playoffs: Eastern Conference

The East postseason was, in a word, dull.

  • Only one of the series went seven games—Indy snuck by Orlando 4-3 in the first round—and two of the six remaining matchups went six. The remainder were barely competitive.
  • The Finals pitted the Conference-winning Knicks against the upstart Cavs, a series that New York pulled out 4-2, sending them to their first NBA Finals since 1999.

Playoffs: Western Conference

Things out West were a scootch more competitive, with pair of seven-gamers in the mix, one of which was a nail-biting Conference Finals that catapulted OKC to their second consecutive NBA Finals appearance.

  • Luka, LeBron, and the Lakers were 8-3 on their road to a clash with the Thunder in the Finals, taking down the 57-win Houston Rockets along the way.
  • Will we have our first repeat champ since Golden State pulled it off in 2017 and 2018?
  • Another spoiler alert: It’ll be one helluva series.

NBA Finals

  • Thunder vs. Knicks
  • Gilgeous-Alexander vs. Brunson.
  • Small market vs. big market.
  • Daigneault vs. Coach TBD.

This is arguably the matchup that Commish Adam Silver was pulling for.

Sure enough, SOM's sim told us that expectations were met, as the Series went the distance.

And the 2025-26 NBA champions are…

2025-26 NBA Postseason, predicted
Alan Goldsher/Strat-O-Matic

Which means we’ll get to enjoy another version of this…

And since this OKC team is a joy to watch, that’s not at all bad thing.

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Alan Goldsher
ALAN GOLDSHER

Alan Goldsher has written about sports for Sports Illustrated, ESPN, Apple, Playboy, NFL.com, and NBA.com, and he’s the creator of the Chicago Sports Stuff Substack. He’s the bestselling author of 15 books, and the founder/CEO of Gold Note Records. Alan lives in Chicago, where he writes, makes music, and consumes and creates way too much Bears content. You can visit him at http://www.AlanGoldsher.com and http://x.com/AlanGoldsher.


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